Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000272 0.000304 0.000340 0.000381 0.000427 0.000478 0.000538
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000252 0.000306 0.000373 0.000458 0.000560 0.000694
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000225 0.000290 0.000379 0.000497 0.000651 0.000869
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000205 0.000277 0.000382 0.000530 0.000735 0.001044
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000180 0.000253 0.000365 0.000531 0.000772 0.001156
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000167 0.000245 0.000367 0.000557 0.000846 0.001332
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000107 0.000162 0.000246 0.000383 0.000605 0.000960 0.001583
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000149 0.000233 0.000375 0.000614 0.001010 0.001737
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000135 0.000215 0.000357 0.000603 0.001026 0.001832
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000129 0.000212 0.000361 0.000630 0.001109 0.002060
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000127 0.000215 0.000378 0.000682 0.001242 0.002399
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000120 0.000207 0.000372 0.000690 0.001297 0.002593
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000113 0.000201 0.000371 0.000710 0.001376 0.002856
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000106 0.000192 0.000364 0.000716 0.001431 0.003079
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000102 0.000189 0.000369 0.000747 0.001541 0.003443
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000098 0.000186 0.000372 0.000774 0.001648 0.003817
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000090 0.000174 0.000355 0.000758 0.001656 0.003955
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000087 0.000171 0.000357 0.000782 0.001758 0.004345
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000087 0.000174 0.000373 0.000839 0.001946 0.004990
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000082 0.000167 0.000365 0.000841 0.002000 0.005291
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000075 0.000156 0.000348 0.000817 0.001988 0.005404
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000073 0.000155 0.000352 0.000847 0.002116 0.005943
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000073 0.000158 0.000368 0.000910 0.002342 0.006814